A Russian invasion of Ukraine is a "distinct possibility."

I'm skipping the interview this week because the Russian military buildup along Ukraine's border is creating so much furor in Washington and Europe that there's no mental space left, at least in my brain, to think about anything else.
Russian officials have said they aren't planning to invade Ukraine. Still, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov also told Russian radio stations that Moscow would "retaliate" if the West does not acquiesce to its security demands.
These demands are non-starters for the U.S. and its NATO allies, so we appear to be at an impasse.
Meanwhile, the Biden administration says that a Russian invasion of Ukraine in the next month is "a distinct possibility." European allies have a slightly different interpretation of the intelligence and appear to be holding out hope that Russia is bluffing to extract concessions.
For a full rundown of everything that's happened in the last week, please read the sections below.
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